$23B Bitcoin boom? VanEck says state reserve bills could spark massive inflows

(Originally posted on : Invezz )

Several US states, including Texas, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, are pushing proposals to invest public funds in cryptocurrencies or establish state-level bitcoin reserves.

Asset manager VanEck analysed 20 such bills and estimated that, if implemented, they could lead to $23 billion in bitcoin purchases, equivalent to approximately 242,700 BTC.

matthew sigel, recovering CFA

@matthew_sigel

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We analyzed 20 state-level Bitcoin reserve bills.
If enacted, they could drive $23 billion in buying, or 247k BTC.
This sum is independent of any pension fund allocations, likely to rise if legislators move forward.

6:51 pm · 12 Feb 2025

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This estimate excludes potential contributions from pension funds and is expected to rise as legislative efforts progress.

Florida recently proposed a bill to allow state investments in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, while North Carolina introduced legislation enabling the State Treasurer to invest in “qualifying digital assets.”

Meanwhile, Arizona’s Senate Finance Committee approved a similar bill, which now moves to the Senate Rules Committee for further consideration.

States like Colorado, Utah, and Louisiana already accept cryptocurrencies for state payments, and Detroit announced plans last year to become the largest US city to accept crypto.

Trump’s pro-crypto government

At the federal level, President Donald Trump has directed efforts to establish a regulatory framework for digital assets, including stablecoins, and to evaluate a potential national digital assets reserve.

White House Crypto Czar David Sacks recently praised Bitcoin as an “excellent store of value.”

The BITCOIN Act of 2024, introduced by Senator Cynthia Lummis, proposes the US Treasury acquire 1 million BTC over five years to create a national bitcoin reserve.

VanEck modeled the impact of such a reserve, suggesting it could offset $42 trillion of US national debt by 2049, provided Bitcoin grows 25% annually to reach $42.3 million per BTC.

However, this optimistic scenario requires a 43,000% price increase over 24 years and assumes US debt compounds at 5% annually from a base of $37 trillion in 2025.

Between Q4 2022 and Q4 2024, governments worldwide added 377,000 BTC to their reserves, mainly through criminal seizures, according to VanEck.

State-level bitcoin reserves and a potential federal stockpile could significantly impact the adoption of digital assets and influence global cryptocurrency markets.

As state and federal initiatives to incorporate Bitcoin into fiscal strategies gather momentum, these developments highlight the growing recognition of digital assets in economic planning and their potential role in addressing national debt and driving financial innovation.

The states of Bitcoin

Earlier this week, Maryland and Kentucky joined a growing number of US states considering Bitcoin and digital assets as part of their financial strategies to bolster reserves.

In Maryland, Democratic State Delegate Caylin Young introduced the “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act of Maryland” this week.

The proposed legislation would allow the state to establish a Bitcoin reserve, explicitly naming the cryptocurrency in the bill.

It also grants the Maryland State Treasurer the authority to invest in Bitcoin using funds derived from the enforcement of gambling violations.

Meanwhile, Kentucky’s House Bill 376, introduced by Republican State Representative TJ Roberts, also aims to authorize state investments in digital assets and precious metals.

Although the bill does not mention Bitcoin by name, it limits eligible digital assets to those with a market capitalization of at least $750 billion, effectively designating Bitcoin as the primary option.

Maryland and Kentucky join 16 other states that have proposed similar legislation, while North Dakota remains the only state to have outright rejected such a measure, according to the Bitcoin Reserve Monitor.

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