XRP price outlook: will the $1.35 support hold or break?

• XRP is holding a tight range near $1.35–$1.36 under pressure.
• Most moving averages and signals still show a dominant downtrend.
• RSI weakness suggests a pause, with $1.35 acting as key support.

XRP is trading at $1.36, sitting almost directly on a key short-term support zone after a steady decline across multiple timeframes.

The price has slipped 7.4% over the past seven days and 6.4% over the past month, extending a broader downtrend that has now reached a 44% drop over the past year.

This puts the current market situation of the Ripple token at the centre of a critical decision point, where bulls and bears are actively testing whether the support at $1.35 can hold.

XRP has entered a tight consolidation phase

XRP has been moving inside a very narrow range between $1.35 and $1.38 over the past 24 hours.

This tight consolidation often reflects hesitation in the market, where neither bulls nor bears have enough momentum to force a clear breakout.

The lower boundary of this range, $1.35, has now become the immediate level to watch.

A clean breakdown below this point would place XRP into a weaker technical structure, with little short-term support visible beneath it.

On the upside, the $1.38 level remains the first resistance barrier, and price has repeatedly failed to sustain moves above it in recent sessions.

But despite this compression, momentum indicators suggest the market is still leaning cautiously.

The 14-day RSI sits at 41.94, which is neutral but tilted toward weakness.

On the weekly chart, RSI drops further to 38.67, which is commonly interpreted as oversold territory.

This divergence between timeframes suggests that while short-term selling pressure is cooling, longer-term momentum remains under stress.

XRP’s technical structure remains under bearish control

A broader look at the trend shows that XRP is still trading below all major exponential moving averages (EMAs) on the daily chart.

These include the 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, which are all positioned above the current price.

This signals a clear bearish structure, where every major trend line is acting as resistance rather than support.

In technical terms, this type of stacking usually reflects a market that has not yet completed a full reversal phase.

In addition, out of 23 tracked technical indicators, 13 are currently pointing to sell signals, while only 3 suggest buying conditions, and 7 remain neutral.

Moving averages alone account for 12 sell signals with zero buy signals, reinforcing the view that the long-term trend has not shifted back in favour of buyers.

At the same time, oscillators like the MACD and the RSI present a slightly different picture. With 3 buy signals against 1 sell signal, short-term momentum indicators show early signs of stabilisation.

However, this has not yet been strong enough to counter the dominant bearish trend formed by the moving averages.

The next directional move will depend heavily on whether buyers can defend the $1.35 support zone or whether selling pressure forces a breakdown into lower price territory.

Short-term estimates point to movement toward $1.39, while broader yearly forecasts place 2026 within a wide range between $0.82 and $2.12.