Here Are the Key Drivers for Bitcoin Price in 2024

Ark Invest, a notable asset management firm, recently unveiled insights in its “Big Ideas 2024” report, pinpointing key trends and catalysts expected to influence bitcoin’s trajectory this year. According to Ark, bitcoin is transitioning into a vital component of diversified institutional portfolios, marking its evolution from speculative asset to strategic investment, showing the recognition of bitcoin’s standalone value within the investment landscape.

Driving Bitcoin Price in 2024

In the “Big Ideas 2024” publication, Ark Invest outlines four primary catalysts poised to drive bitcoin’s price in 2024:

1. Spot Bitcoin ETF Launches

January saw the introduction of spot bitcoin ETFs on major stock exchanges, simplifying bitcoin investment by integrating it into traditional brokerage accounts. Ark Invest itself launched a spot bitcoin ETF on January 11, highlighting the reduced complexity and educational barrier for investors entering the bitcoin market.

2. Bitcoin Halving Event

Scheduled for April, the upcoming Bitcoin halving is anticipated to initiate a new bull market phase by slashing the bitcoin inflation rate from approximately 1.8% to 0.9%. This event, occurring every four years, has historically triggered significant market movements.

3. Regulatory Developments

The collapse of entities like FTX and Celsius has accelerated the push for comprehensive crypto regulations. Ark Invest points to the forthcoming U.S. cryptocurrency regulatory framework and the implementation of Europe’s MiCA regulation as pivotal developments. These regulations aim to enhance transparency and establish licensing requirements for crypto wallet providers and exchanges within the EU.

4. Institutional Acceptance

The perception of bitcoin is undergoing a transformation, with more institutions viewing it as a viable investment for portfolio diversification. Highlighting this trend, Larry Fink of Blackrock has evolved from a bitcoin skeptic to recognizing its potential value by referring to it as the “digitization of gold“, and turning ‘bullish‘. Blackrock’s launch of the Ishares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) in January, which has amassed over 70K BTC, exemplifies institutional endorsement.

Other Influences on the Crypto Space in 2024

Additionally, the report sheds light on other significant advancements in the crypto and blockchain arena that could play influential roles in 2024:

1. Artificial Intelligence (AI)

AI’s integration with blockchain could significantly improve transaction efficiency and smart contract functionality.

2. Bitcoin Allocation

With an average annualized return of ~44% over the past seven years, bitcoin’s role in investment portfolios is becoming increasingly pivotal.

3. Smart Contracts

Expected to generate substantial annual fees by 2030, smart contracts are essential for developing a decentralized financial system.

4. Digital Wallets

Projected revenue growth for digital wallets indicates a surge in demand for blockchain-based financial services, facilitating cryptocurrency transactions and access to decentralized applications.

5. Autonomous Logistics

The scalability of autonomous delivery services, potentially reaching $900 billion by 2030, could be enhanced by blockchain technology for more secure and efficient logistics management.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $45,515.23 according to CoinMarketCap data. The flagship cryptocurrency is showing sideways movement for the past week with about a 1% increase in value. Is this the calm before the storm?