{"id":47638,"date":"2025-02-17T21:08:52","date_gmt":"2025-02-17T21:08:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/are-president-trumps-posts-moving-markets-study-shows-not-a-lot\/"},"modified":"2025-02-17T21:08:52","modified_gmt":"2025-02-17T21:08:52","slug":"are-president-trumps-posts-moving-markets-study-shows-not-a-lot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/are-president-trumps-posts-moving-markets-study-shows-not-a-lot\/","title":{"rendered":"Are President Trump\u2019s posts moving markets? Study shows not a lot"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Originally posted on : Invezz )<\/b>
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US President Donald Trump has sent fewer market-moving social media posts since his re-election compared to his first term, according to a study by JPMorgan quoted in a Reuters report.<\/p>\n

The bank\u2019s analysts found that only 10% of his 126 posts on trade tariffs, foreign relations, and economic policies have had a clear impact on currency markets.<\/p>\n

Fewer market-moving posts, but activity increasing<\/h2>\n

Trump\u2019s market-moving posts have picked up recently, with over 20 posts last week on key economic topics\u2014double January\u2019s average. <\/p>\n

However, this remains well below the 60-per-week peak seen during his 2018\u201319 trade disputes with countries like Mexico.<\/p>\n

JPMorgan noted that Trump\u2019s posts about tariffs have been the most influential, with nearly one-third of them causing market fluctuations. <\/p>\n

The biggest impact was seen earlier this month when Trump announced 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, triggering a 2% drop in the Mexican peso and a 1% decline in the Canadian dollar\u2014before postponing the move two days later.<\/p>\n

Posts regarding China have had mixed effects. The yuan weakened after Trump threatened tariffs over Fentanyl supply but later rebounded in mid-January when he described a “very good” phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping.<\/p>\n

Trading on Trump\u2019s posts hasn\u2019t been profitable<\/h2>\n

Despite the market reactions, JPMorgan’s backtesting suggests that trading on Trump\u2019s posts hasn\u2019t been highly profitable. <\/p>\n

The study found that strategies such as buying the US dollar against a basket of G10 high-beta currencies or the most impacted currency for 5 to 180 minutes after each post resulted in disappointing returns, with gains not exceeding 4% even under optimistic assumptions.<\/p>\n

Trump’s recent posts stirs controversy<\/h2>\n

While Trump’s posts may not have had a great impact on markets, they have more often than less created controversies.<\/p>\n

The latest in this was a post where the president quoted Napolean Bonaparte. <\/p>\n

Donald Trump posted, \u201cHe who saves his Country does not violate any Law,\u201d on his social media platform, Truth Social, as well as on Elon Musk\u2019s X (formerly Twitter) on Saturday. <\/p>\n

The White House’s official X account also shared the message alongside Trump’s presidential photograph.<\/p>\n

A version of this phrase is often attributed to Napoleon Bonaparte, the French general who declared himself emperor in 1804 and was known for his authoritarian rule. <\/p>\n

The remark has drawn criticism from Democrats and liberal commentators. Sen. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) responded on X, saying, \u201cSpoken like a true dictator.\u201d<\/p>\n

New York Times columnist Jamelle Bouie called it \u201cthe single most un-American and anti-constitutional statement ever uttered by an American president\u201d on the social media platform Bluesky.<\/p>\n

Even some conservatives critical of Trump have voiced concern. Anthony Scaramucci, who briefly served as White House communications director before becoming an outspoken critic, reposted Trump\u2019s statement with the comment: \u201cWants to be a dictator. If you don\u2019t see it, it means you don\u2019t want to.\u201d<\/p>\n

The post Are President Trump’s posts moving markets? Study shows not a lot<\/a> appeared first on Invezz<\/a><\/p>\n

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(Originally posted on : Invezz ) US President Donald Trump has sent fewer market-moving social media posts since his re-election compared to his first term, according to a study by JPMorgan quoted in a Reuters report. The bank\u2019s analysts found that only 10% of his 126 posts on trade tariffs, foreign relations, and economic policies […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362387,"featured_media":47639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[39],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47638"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362387"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47638\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}