{"id":56924,"date":"2025-07-31T21:46:46","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T21:46:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/ethereum-price-prediction-eth-derivatives-data-shows-weak-momentum\/"},"modified":"2025-07-31T21:46:46","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T21:46:46","slug":"ethereum-price-prediction-eth-derivatives-data-shows-weak-momentum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/ethereum-price-prediction-eth-derivatives-data-shows-weak-momentum\/","title":{"rendered":"Ethereum price prediction: ETH derivatives data shows weak momentum"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<div class=\"-mt-16  mb-8  lg:-mt-20  rounded-md  shadow-md\">\n<div class=\"relative  z-10  post-article-image  rounded  overflow-hidden\" data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/ethereum-price-smartcrop-750x375.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/ethereum-price-smartcrop-363x181.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/ethereum-price-smartcrop-750x375.png\" type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/ethereum-price-smartcrop-363x181.png\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/>\n<\/picture>                            <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>ETH derivatives show weak momentum despite strong ETF inflows.<\/li>\n<li>Ethereum\u2019s network activity and TVL continue to decline.<\/li>\n<li>Technical analysis hints at long-term upside, but traders stay cautious.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ethereum (ETH) has seen a strong price surge in recent weeks, gaining more than 54% over the past month and trading at around $3,755 at press time.<\/p>\n<p>However, despite this rally and <a href=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/news\/ethereum-price-hits-its-six-month-high-on-record-etf-inflows\/\">strong spot ETF inflows<\/a>, derivatives market data paints a very different picture, casting doubt on whether Ethereum can break through the psychologically significant $4,000 level any time soon.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-banner  container  pt-1  px-0  mb-6\" data-partner=\"bitcoinpenguin\">\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinpenguins.io\/en?utm_source=coinjournal&amp;utm_medium=banner&amp;utm_campaign=header\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><br \/>\n            <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"p-0  m-0\" src=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/themes\/c1-base\/dist\/img\/ad\/bitcoinpenguin\/en.png\"\/><br \/>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<p>In essence, the disconnect between bullish institutional inflows and weak derivatives metrics raises several questions for market participants.<\/p>\n<p>Is Ethereum\u2019s recent rally sustainable, or is it merely a reflection of speculative optimism driven by ETF hype?<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, are investors losing confidence in Ethereum\u2019s network fundamentals amid rising competition from rival blockchains?<\/p>\n<h2>Derivatives market tells a cautious tale<\/h2>\n<p>While Ethereum\u2019s spot market has been energised by inflows into exchange-traded funds, futures data shows traders are hesitant to commit to leveraged bullish positions.<\/p>\n<p>As of Thursday, the annualised funding rate for ETH perpetual futures had fallen back to 9%, down from 19% earlier in the week, with the ETH OI-weighted funding rate dropping to 0.0043% from 0.0163% on July 21.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-source=\"CoinJournal\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-326455\" src=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/ETH-OI-weighted-funding-rate.png\" alt=\"ETH OI-weighted funding rate\" width=\"1633\" height=\"427\"\/><\/p>\n<p>This suggests waning demand for long positions, even after a near 46% gain in ETH price since early July.<\/p>\n<p>This behaviour is unusual. Historically, rising prices coincide with stronger futures premiums, yet the current trend indicates hesitation.<\/p>\n<p>The 3-month ETH futures premium has also softened slightly to 6%, down from 8% just days ago.<\/p>\n<p>While this still sits within a neutral range, it reveals a reluctance among whales and market makers to bet aggressively on further price appreciation in the near term.<\/p>\n<h2>Ethereum network weakness frustrates investors<\/h2>\n<p>The cautious tone in derivatives is likely being fueled by stagnant on-chain activity.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/defillama.com\/chain\/ethereum\">Ethereum\u2019s total value locked (TVL)<\/a> dropped to a five-month low of 23.4 million ETH, falling 11% in just 30 days.<\/p>\n<p>That sharp decline comes despite ETH\u2019s rising dollar value and highlights a significant reduction in the volume of assets being deployed within the ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, Solana\u2019s TVL only fell 4% during the same period, while BNB Chain\u2019s TVL rose 15% in native token terms.<\/p>\n<p>These shifts show that competing platforms are either maintaining or growing their utility at a time when Ethereum\u2019s activity appears to be plateauing.<\/p>\n<p>Even more concerning is Ethereum\u2019s decline in dominance among decentralised exchange (DEX) volumes.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/defillama.com\/dexs\/chain\/ethereum\">According to DefiLlama<\/a>, Ethereum recorded $81.32 billion in DEX activity over the past month.<\/p>\n<p>Solana surpassed that with $82.9 billion, while BNB Chain led with a staggering $189.2 billion.<\/p>\n<p>These figures highlight that Ethereum is no longer the go-to platform for certain core DeFi activities.<\/p>\n<h2>Technical analysis signals a mixed ETH price outlook<\/h2>\n<p>Despite lukewarm derivative activity, technical analysts remain divided on Ethereum\u2019s future trajectory.<\/p>\n<p>Popular investor Ivan On Tech has pointed to a symmetrical triangle pattern that could lead to a breakout toward $7,709, more than double the current price.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">ETHEREUM BREAKING OUT ON THE MONTHLY!!!!!!!!!!!!<\/p>\n<p>TARGET $7,700<br \/>YES<br \/>OOOH YES GUYS <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/z0sZvKxOYW\">pic.twitter.com\/z0sZvKxOYW<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ivan on Tech \ud83c\udf73\ud83d\udcc8\ud83d\udcb0 (@IvanOnTech) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IvanOnTech\/status\/1946892261708407076?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 20, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, another analyst, Mikycrypto Bull, has identified a long-term ascending triangle formation dating back five years, which could theoretically launch ETH as high as $16,700.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">ETHEREUM IS SET FOR A MACRO BREAKOUT <\/p>\n<p>IT WILL SPARK OFF A HUGE ALTSZN IF IT HAPPENS <\/p>\n<p>A VERY CRITICAL MOMENT FOR ETHEREUM <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IoZX77DvmR\">pic.twitter.com\/IoZX77DvmR<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mikybull \ud83d\udc02Crypto (@MikybullCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MikybullCrypto\/status\/1950484446978687385?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 30, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Adding to the bullish sentiment is a recent MACD crossover on the monthly chart, a signal that has preceded major rallies in previous cycles.<\/p>\n<p>However, while long-term technicals hint at explosive potential, short-term forecasts are more cautious.<\/p>\n<p>ETH must first break through $4,100 and hold above $3,700 to sustain its upward momentum.<\/p>\n<h2>Corporate confidence grows amid market doubts<\/h2>\n<p>Institutional and corporate adoption of Ethereum continues to grow.<\/p>\n<p>Firms such as SharpLink Gaming and World Liberty Financial have accumulated substantial ETH reserves in recent months.<\/p>\n<p>SharpLink now holds over 438,000 ETH and actively stakes its assets to generate passive income.<\/p>\n<p>World Liberty Financial has acquired over 77,000 ETH, with recent purchases near $3,294 per coin.<\/p>\n<p>These moves suggest that some institutions are positioning Ethereum as a long-term strategic asset.<\/p>\n<p>Their investments reflect confidence in Ethereum\u2019s evolving role as foundational infrastructure for decentralised applications and finance.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-meta\">\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Share this article<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Categories<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Tags<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/news\/ethereum-price-prediction-eth-derivatives-data-shows-weak-momentum\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison ) ETH derivatives show weak momentum despite strong ETF inflows. Ethereum\u2019s network activity and TVL continue to decline. Technical analysis hints at long-term upside, but traders stay cautious. Ethereum (ETH) has seen a strong price surge in recent weeks, gaining more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":56925,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56924"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56924"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56924\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56925"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}