{"id":57568,"date":"2025-08-12T10:23:38","date_gmt":"2025-08-12T10:23:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-price-steadies-as-long-term-holder-selloff-cools\/"},"modified":"2025-08-12T10:23:38","modified_gmt":"2025-08-12T10:23:38","slug":"bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-price-steadies-as-long-term-holder-selloff-cools","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-price-steadies-as-long-term-holder-selloff-cools\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin price forecast: BTC price steadies as long-term holder selloff cools"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<div class=\"-mt-16  mb-8  lg:-mt-20  rounded-md  shadow-md\">\n<div class=\"relative  z-10  post-article-image  rounded  overflow-hidden\" data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/bitcoin-btc-smartcrop-750x375.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/bitcoin-btc-smartcrop-363x181.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/bitcoin-btc-smartcrop-750x375.png\" type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/07\/bitcoin-btc-smartcrop-363x181.png\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/>\n<\/picture>                            <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>Long-term holder (LTH) selloffs cool, easing Bitcoin price selling pressure.<\/li>\n<li>BTC price holds above $116,817 despite rejection near $122K.<\/li>\n<li>CPI data may decide the next major BTC price move.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin price forecast shows BTC price steadying as long-term holder selloffs cool.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, traders are watching on-chain flows and macro prints for signs of the next directional move.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad-banner  container  pt-1  px-0  mb-6\" data-partner=\"bitcoinpenguin\">\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinpenguins.io\/en?utm_source=coinjournal&amp;utm_medium=banner&amp;utm_campaign=header\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><br \/>\n            <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"p-0  m-0\" src=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/themes\/c1-base\/dist\/img\/ad\/bitcoinpenguin\/en.png\"\/><br \/>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<h2>Long-term holders\u2019 selloff cools<\/h2>\n<p>Long-term holders have materially reduced daily sales, and consequently, the market has seen a clear shift toward holding.<\/p>\n<p>According to on-chain data, daily LTH sales slipped below $1 billion in August, after averaging above that threshold in July, and this shift has removed a notable chunk of selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, the reduced flow of coins to exchanges, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/currencies\/BTC\">according to Coinglass<\/a>, has coincided with renewed accumulation, which in turn supports a calmer BTC price near current range levels.<\/p>\n<h2>On-chain evidence points to accumulation<\/h2>\n<p>Binary Coin Days Destroyed has dropped toward zero, signalling that older coins are not moving and therefore are being held longer.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-source=\"CoinJournal\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bitcoin-Binary-CDD.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Binary CDD chart.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Additionally, the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/asset\/btc\/chart\/flow-indicator\/fund-flow-ratio\">Fund Flow Ratio<\/a> sits at unusually low levels, around 0.057, and this suggests fewer assets are being sent to exchanges.<\/p>\n<p>Consequently, spot market net inflows \u2014 including a recent $51 million buy day after a $242 million sell-off on August 10 \u2014 reinforce that demand is returning more steadily than before.<\/p>\n<h2>Triangle breakout holds, but risks remain<\/h2>\n<p>Technically, Bitcoin broke upward from a triangle and remains above the $116,817 breakout threshold, which means momentum is still intact.<\/p>\n<p>However, recent attempts to clear $122,000 ended with a rejection and a \u201cgravestone\u201d doji candlestick, and hence, traders note that the path to a new ATH may not be smooth.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-source=\"CoinJournal\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-329118\" src=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Bitcoin-price-chart-analysis.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin price chart analysis\" width=\"1341\" height=\"844\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, a CME futures gap near $117K and four-hour 200MA\/EMA confluence add short-term technical magnetism that could invite retests before any sustained push higher.<\/p>\n<h2>CPI and Fed policy could tilt the scales<\/h2>\n<p>Macro catalysts are front and centre because upcoming US CPI figures influence rate-cut expectations and dollar strength.<\/p>\n<p>If core inflation prints higher than expected \u2014 for example, near 3.1% \u2014 then Fed-cut odds for September would likely decline, and as a result BTC price may face pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, a softer CPI near 2.9% would boost rate-cut prospects, weaken the dollar, and likely favour renewed upside for crypto and BTC price momentum.<\/p>\n<h2>Two plausible paths for Bitcoin traders<\/h2>\n<p>On the bullish path, continued LTH holding, steady capital inflows, and a break above recent highs could carry BTC to new discovery above $123,000 and into a $120K\u2013$125K zone.<\/p>\n<p>On the bearish path, a confirmed distribution phase \u2014 as some Wyckoff-analysing traders warn \u2014 could open a markdown toward the $92K\u2013$95K area, and therefore, traders must respect risk controls.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> | Wyckoff Logic in Play \ud83d\udcca<\/p>\n<p>After a strong Accumulation Phase in March\u2013April confirmed by bullish RSI divergence, BTC entered a powerful Mark-Up phase, reaching new highs.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, price action is showing signs of a Distribution Phase \u2014 sideways movement with weakening\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PTDoosNnDb\">pic.twitter.com\/PTDoosNnDb<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 ZAYK Charts (@ZAYKCharts) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ZAYKCharts\/status\/1955165777851502739?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 12, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thus, momentum and macro prints will decide whether the market grinds higher or re-enters a corrective phase.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin price forecast: What traders should watch<\/h2>\n<p>Watch whether BTC holds $116,817 and whether exchange inflows remain subdued, because these are immediate signs of supply drying up.<\/p>\n<p>Also, monitor short-term technical confluence at the CME gap near $117K and the reaction to CPI data, since both can trigger quick directional moves.<\/p>\n<p>While sentiment includes bullish voices like the co-founder of PayPal, Peter Thiel, who sees structural undervaluation, traders should remain nimble and factor in both upside targets and downside scenarios.<\/p>\n<p>The current Bitcoin forecast balances improved on-chain accumulation against near-term macro risk, and this equilibrium shapes the prevailing BTC price outlook.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-meta\">\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Share this article<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Categories<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Tags<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-price-steadies-as-long-term-holder-selloff-cools\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison ) Long-term holder (LTH) selloffs cool, easing Bitcoin price selling pressure. BTC price holds above $116,817 despite rejection near $122K. CPI data may decide the next major BTC price move. Bitcoin price forecast shows BTC price steadying as long-term holder selloffs cool. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":57569,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57568"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57568"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57568\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57569"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}