{"id":58749,"date":"2025-09-02T19:06:48","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T19:06:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-spot-market-signals-potential-recovery-rally\/"},"modified":"2025-09-02T19:06:48","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T19:06:48","slug":"bitcoin-spot-market-signals-potential-recovery-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-spot-market-signals-potential-recovery-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin spot market signals potential recovery rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<div class=\"-mt-16  mb-8  lg:-mt-20  rounded-md  shadow-md\">\n<div class=\"relative  z-10  post-article-image  rounded  overflow-hidden\" data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/09\/image-3-smartcrop-750x375.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/09\/image-3-smartcrop-363x181.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/09\/image-3-smartcrop-750x375.webp\" type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2025\/09\/image-3-smartcrop-363x181.webp\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/>\n<\/picture>                            <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"169\" data-end=\"523\">BTC spot demand strengthens as dense accumulation signals durable support.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"169\" data-end=\"523\">Coinbase and Binance flows hint at liquidity shifts fueling upside momentum.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"169\" data-end=\"523\">Bitcoin must clear $113,650 resistance to confirm breakout or risk $100K retest.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"169\" data-end=\"523\">Bitcoin\u2019s (BTC) spot market is showing signs of a potential recovery, supported by on-chain data, exchange flows, and technical signals that point to strengthening buyer conviction.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"169\" data-end=\"523\">Analysts suggest the latest developments could set the stage for a bullish breakout, though caution remains given September\u2019s historically weak seasonality for the asset.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"525\" data-end=\"571\">On-chain data highlights buyer conviction<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"573\" data-end=\"969\">Data from Glassnode reveals that Bitcoin\u2019s Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) is diverging sharply from Ether (ETH).<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"573\" data-end=\"969\">The CBD, which tracks where significant amounts of supply have been accumulated or distributed, shows Bitcoin spot activity as notably denser compared to ETH.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"573\" data-end=\"969\">Transactions are clustering tightly around recent price levels, an indication that buyers are accumulating with conviction.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"971\" data-end=\"1214\">Historically, such dense clustering in Bitcoin has provided more durable support than futures-driven momentum.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"971\" data-end=\"1214\">This suggests that the current market structure may be more resilient, with spot demand forming a foundation for potential upside.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1216\" data-end=\"1576\">Complementing this trend, long-term holder (LTH) spending has accelerated modestly in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1216\" data-end=\"1576\">The 14-day simple moving average (SMA) shows a gradual rise, pointing to some profit-taking.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1216\" data-end=\"1576\">However, activity remains within cycle norms and far below the peaks seen in October and November 2024, implying that the selling is measured rather than aggressive.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1578\" data-end=\"1623\">Exchange flows indicate liquidity shifts<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1625\" data-end=\"2062\">Exchange flows are also reinforcing the recovery narrative.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1625\" data-end=\"2062\">A CryptoQuant quicktake highlighted that Coinbase recorded consistent net inflow spikes between August 25 and 31, following a period when its 30-day SMA netflow hit the lowest level since early 2023.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1625\" data-end=\"2062\">Historically, sharp reversals from multi-year troughs often signal liquidity regime shifts, either from settlement restructuring or increased preparations for higher activity.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2064\" data-end=\"2451\">At the same time, Binance saw its 30-day SMA netflow rise to its highest levels since July 2024, peaking on July 25 and August 25.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2064\" data-end=\"2451\">These levels have previously aligned with reaccumulation phases that precede new local highs.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2064\" data-end=\"2451\">The simultaneous trough at Coinbase and peak at Binance suggest meaningful reserve redistribution, potentially laying the groundwork for upward momentum in BTC.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2453\" data-end=\"2492\">Technical breakout levels in focus<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2494\" data-end=\"2788\">Price action further supports the possibility of a recovery.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2494\" data-end=\"2788\">Bitcoin dipped to $107,300 on Monday, aligning closely with its short-term realized price, before rebounding sharply.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2494\" data-end=\"2788\">By Tuesday\u2019s New York trading session, BTC had broken above Monday\u2019s $109,900 high, signaling renewed resilience.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2790\" data-end=\"3028\">On shorter timeframes, such as the 15-minute and 1-hour charts, Bitcoin has registered a bullish break of structure.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2790\" data-end=\"3028\">On the 4-hour chart, the relative strength index (RSI) has climbed back above 50, reinforcing growing bullish momentum.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3030\" data-end=\"3376\">For the recovery to hold, Bitcoin must decisively clear resistance between $112,500 and $113,650.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3030\" data-end=\"3376\">A close above $113,650 would confirm a bullish daily breakout and invalidate the descending trendline that has capped price action for the past two weeks.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3030\" data-end=\"3376\">Such a move could unlock liquidity targets at $116,300, $117,500, and potentially $119,500.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3378\" data-end=\"3590\">However, if BTC fails to sustain momentum above $113,650, risks remain skewed to the downside.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3378\" data-end=\"3590\">A failed breakout could expose the cryptocurrency to declines toward the order block between $105,000 and $100,000.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-meta\">\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Share this article<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Categories<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Tags<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/news\/bitcoin-spot-market-signals-potential-recovery-rally\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison ) BTC spot demand strengthens as dense accumulation signals durable support. Coinbase and Binance flows hint at liquidity shifts fueling upside momentum. Bitcoin must clear $113,650 resistance to confirm breakout or risk $100K retest. Bitcoin\u2019s (BTC) spot market is showing signs of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362390,"featured_media":58750,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58749"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362390"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58749"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58749\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/58750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}