{"id":65291,"date":"2025-12-24T08:02:44","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T08:02:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-holds-near-87k-as-volatility-compresses-analysts-split-on-2026-outlook\/"},"modified":"2025-12-24T08:02:44","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T08:02:44","slug":"bitcoin-holds-near-87k-as-volatility-compresses-analysts-split-on-2026-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-holds-near-87k-as-volatility-compresses-analysts-split-on-2026-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin holds near $87k as volatility compresses; analysts split on 2026 outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Invezz )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin eased in early Asian trading and held around the mid-$87,000 area as market volatility continued to compress. <\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin investor and entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano said the absence of a year-end surge may reduce the risk of a major first-quarter selloff.<\/p>\n<p>Other analysts see deeper downside potential into 2026, while broader markets are buoyed by a record S&amp;P 500 on stronger US growth and gold\u2019s move above $4,500 an ounce.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"volatility-compresses-risk-skew-shifts\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volatility compresses, risk skew shifts<\/h2>\n<p><a class=\"copy-link-to-section\" href=\"#\"><i class=\"fa fa-link\"\/><br \/>\n                <span class=\"tooltip\" data-text=\"Copy link to section\" data-conf=\"Copied!\">Copy link to section<\/span><br \/>\n            <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pompliano argued that subdued volatility could limit extreme downside. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cGiven where the volatility is right now, it would be very surprising that Bitcoin\u2019s volatility has drastically compressed and yet still could get a 70% or 80% drawdown,\u201d he said in a CNBC interview on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>He noted that investors have overlooked Bitcoin\u2019s long-term performance over the disappointment of the asset not hitting $250,000 this year. <\/p>\n<p>He pointed to longer-term gains, saying Bitcoin is \u201cup 100% in two years\u201d and \u201calmost 300% in three years,\u201d calling it \u201ca monster in financial markets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Expectations of a rally to $250,000 from advocates like Tom Lee and Arthur Hayes did not materialize this year. <\/p>\n<p>Pompliano also said that while Bitcoin didn\u2019t see the \u201cblowoff top\u201d performance expected in Q3 or Q4, it didn\u2019t suffer the usual 80% drawdown that is normally expected as well. <\/p>\n<p>Others remain cautious.<\/p>\n<p>Veteran trader Peter Brandt recently said Bitcoin could fall as low as $60,000 by the third quarter of 2026, while Fidelity\u2019s director of global macroeconomic research Jurrien Timmer suggested 2026 could be a \u201cyear off,\u201d with prices potentially dipping to $65,000.<\/p>\n<p>Bitfinex analysts said Bitcoin bounced decisively from the low $80,000 support area. <\/p>\n<p>They warned, however, that \u201ca dense overhead supply cluster\u201d accumulated by top buyers between $94,000 and $120,000 now presents a \u201csubstantial headwind.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>They described a \u201ctop-heavy\u201d setup where rebound attempts face persistent selling pressure, a pattern they said resembled early 2022 during the initial stage of a bearish phase.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin was trading at $87,260 at the time of publication, down 1% in the last 24 hours and down 6.5% since Jan. 1.<\/p>\n<p>Ethereum fell 1.6% in the last 24 hours to $2938, while XRP slipped 1.8% to $1.85. <\/p>\n<p>The total crypto market capitalization was down 1.03% to $2.03 trillion. <\/p>\n<h2 id=\"macro-backdrop-stocks-climb-and-gold-hits-a-record\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Macro backdrop, stocks climb, and gold hits a record<\/h2>\n<p><a class=\"copy-link-to-section\" href=\"#\"><i class=\"fa fa-link\"\/><br \/>\n                <span class=\"tooltip\" data-text=\"Copy link to section\" data-conf=\"Copied!\">Copy link to section<\/span><br \/>\n            <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Stocks strengthened after an upward revision to US third-quarter GDP showed annualized growth of 4.3%. <\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 closed at a record on Tuesday, with higher bond yields and continued demand for growth stocks.<\/p>\n<p>In Asia, MSCI\u2019s regional gauge advanced for a fourth session, up about 0.2% at the time of writing. <\/p>\n<p>Japan\u2019s Nikkei 225 fell 0.02%, while South Korea\u2019s Kospi was up 0.02%, and Australia\u2019s ASX edged lower in a shortened session.<\/p>\n<p>Gold surged past $4,500 an ounce for the first time as safe-haven demand built on geopolitical tension and expectations for lower US rates next year. <\/p>\n<p>Washington\u2019s pressure on Venezuelan oil flows, with President Donald Trump\u2019s blockade, kept shipowners on alert.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"policy-signals-and-trade-developments\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Policy signals and trade developments<\/h2>\n<p><a class=\"copy-link-to-section\" href=\"#\"><i class=\"fa fa-link\"\/><br \/>\n                <span class=\"tooltip\" data-text=\"Copy link to section\" data-conf=\"Copied!\">Copy link to section<\/span><br \/>\n            <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Markets also tracked policy uncertainty as Trump kept investors guessing about the next Federal Reserve chair, repeating he wants a chair who is willing to cut rates and is nearing an announcement.<\/p>\n<p>In India, the Reserve Bank moved to ease tight conditions with liquidity measures, including bond purchases and a dollar rupee swap. <\/p>\n<p>On trade, the Trump administration delayed new tariffs on Chinese semiconductor imports until mid-2027. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2025\/12\/24\/bitcoin-holds-near-87k-as-volatility-compresses-analysts-split-on-2026-outlook\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Invezz ) Bitcoin eased in early Asian trading and held around the mid-$87,000 area as market volatility continued to compress. Bitcoin investor and entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano said the absence of a year-end surge may reduce the risk of a major first-quarter selloff. Other analysts see deeper downside potential into 2026, while [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362390,"featured_media":65292,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65291"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362390"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65291"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65291\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}