{"id":65737,"date":"2026-01-06T06:54:14","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T06:54:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/aud-usd-forecast-as-the-australian-dollar-soars-to-a-15-month-high\/"},"modified":"2026-01-06T06:54:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T06:54:14","slug":"aud-usd-forecast-as-the-australian-dollar-soars-to-a-15-month-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/aud-usd-forecast-as-the-australian-dollar-soars-to-a-15-month-high\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD forecast as the Australian dollar soars to a 15-month high"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Originally posted on : AUD News, Latest Stories & Analysis | Invezz )<\/b>
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The Australian dollar continued its strong uptrend this week, reaching its highest point in over a year amid odds of divergence between the RBA and the Federal Reserve interest rates. The AUD\/USD pair jumped to a high of 0.6710, up by 13.4% from its lowest point this year.<\/p>\n

RBA and Federal Reserve divergence<\/h2>\n


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The AUD\/USD exchange rate jumped as investors predicted that the Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would continue to diverge in the coming year.<\/p>\n

On the one hand, economists believe that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates in the coming year. In a statement on Tuesday, Trump hinted that he will only nominate a Fed Chair who will be willing to cut interest rates even as the economic strength continues.<\/p>\n

His statement was a reaction to the strong US GDP data<\/a> <\/strong>released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Tuesday. That report showed that the economy expanded by 4.3% in Q3, helped by robust consumer spending and AI investment.<\/p>\n

That growth was much higher than what analysts were expecting by far, meaning that the economy continued to defy gravity this year\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

However, more data sent a warning about the economy. A good example of this is the consumer confidence report by the Conference Board.<\/p>\n

The report showed that the country\u2019s consumer confidence dropped sharply this month, continuing a trend that has been going on in the last five months. This is an important number because consumer spending is the biggest part of the GDP.<\/p>\n

Wall Street analysts and Polymarket traders expect that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least two times in 2p26<\/p>\n

On the other hand, analysts are pricing in potential interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia next year after recent data showed that inflation continued rising.<\/p>\n

Minutes released on Tuesday showed that officials deliberated on whether to hike interest rates or not. They opted to leave rates unchanged at 3.6% so that they can observe inflation trends in the country.<\/p>\n

Economists at some of the biggest Australian banks have a mixed opinion on what to expect next year. Belinda Allen, a top economist at CBA predicted that the bank will hike rate next year.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, Luci Ellis, a senior analyst at Westpac, sees the bank leaving rates unchanged for an extended period, a move that the bond market supports. Data shows that the ten-year bond yield dropped to 4.75% on Wednesday from this week\u2019s high of 4.83%. The five-year yield dropped slightly to 4.28%.<\/p>\n

AUD\/USD technical analysis\u00a0<\/h2>\n


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AUDUSD chart | Source: TradingView<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The daily timeframe chart shows that the AUD\/USD exchange rate has been in a strong bull run this year, moving from a low of 0.5912 in April to the current 0.6700, its highest level in over a year.<\/p>\n

It flipped the important resistance level at 0.6685, its highest point in April into a support level. The pair remains above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).<\/p>\n

Also, it remains slightly above the Supertrend indicator, a sign that bulls are in control for now. Therefore, the most likely AUD\/USD forecast is bullish, with the next key target being the psychological level at 0.6800.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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(Originally posted on : AUD News, Latest Stories & Analysis | Invezz ) The Australian dollar continued its strong uptrend this week, reaching its highest point in over a year amid odds of divergence between the RBA and the Federal Reserve interest rates. The AUD\/USD pair jumped to a high of 0.6710, up by 13.4% […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":65738,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[39],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65737"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65737\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}