{"id":67143,"date":"2026-01-28T07:34:11","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T07:34:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-faces-fed-test-as-analysts-warn-of-possible-dip-below-80000\/"},"modified":"2026-01-28T07:34:11","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T07:34:11","slug":"bitcoin-faces-fed-test-as-analysts-warn-of-possible-dip-below-80000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-faces-fed-test-as-analysts-warn-of-possible-dip-below-80000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin faces Fed test as analysts warn of possible dip below $80,000"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Originally posted on : Invezz )<\/b>
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Bitcoin is stuck in a tight band ahead of this week\u2019s Federal Reserve decision, with several analysts flagging a potential Wyckoff \u201cspring\u201d that could push prices below $80,000 before momentum rebuilds.<\/p>\n

Flows and positioning remain skewed by US institutions, while safe-haven assets surge and macro uncertainty rises.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin holds range as event risk builds<\/h2>\n


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Bitcoin traded defensively around $88,000 after a move to $88,315, remaining trapped in a 60-day range between $85,000 and $94,000, according to Wintermute<\/a> and TradingView<\/a> data cited by Cointelegraph.<\/p>\n

Material Indicators\u2019 Keith Alan said a new daily \u201cTrend Precognition\u201d signal implies a high probability Bitcoin will not revisit yesterday\u2019s low, after Monday\u2019s brief dip below $87,000.<\/p>\n

He added the daily close needs to hold above the 2026 open near $87,500 for strength, per his post<\/a> cited by Cointelegraph<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Momentum and order books point to stabilization, not breakout<\/h2>\n


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On CryptoQuant, Binance data shows daily price momentum is positive at approximately $1,676 with a momentum of 1.93%, a sign of a \u201cquiet corrective move\u201d after selling pressure rather than a strong bullish impulse, contributor Arab Chain wrote in a Quicktake<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Order-book signals suggest a \u201cperiod of anticipation\u201d rather than an imminent breakout.<\/p>\n

Trader MartyParty used Wyckoff analysis to map a potential \u201cspring\u201d that could take BTC below $80,000 before rebounding, timing it around this week\u2019s macro events, according to his commentary<\/a> referenced by Cointelegraph.<\/p>\n

US flows weigh, ETFs flip to outflows<\/h2>\n


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Wintermute said US counterparties are net sellers, with a persistent Coinbase discount pointing to domestic pressure, while European accounts are marginal buyers and Asia is neutral.<\/p>\n

The firm highlighted that \u201cETFs drive momentum in this market; when that bid disappears, you get choppy, directionless price action,\u201d in its update<\/a>.<\/p>\n

US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest weekly outflow since February 2025 last week, reversing the strong inflows that accompanied January\u2019s brief push toward $97,000, Cryptonews<\/a> reported.<\/p>\n

Who is selling, and who is not<\/h2>\n


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On-chain metrics point to profit-taking rather than capitulation.<\/p>\n

CryptoQuant\u2019s Miners\u2019 Position Index printed near -1.5, indicating miners are selling less than their 1-year average after monetizing inventory at $110,000 to $120,000 levels.<\/p>\n

Whale exchange ratios are elevated, but deposits remain well below prior spikes, implying tactical distribution, per a note<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Macro backdrop, from the Fed to Dalio\u2019s warning<\/h2>\n


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The Federal Reserve sets policy on Wednesday, with rate cut expectations below 3%, according to CME Group\u2019s FedWatch Tool<\/a> cited by Cointelegraph.<\/p>\n

Earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Apple, plus a new 25% tariff threat against South Korea, add to event risk, Cryptonews<\/a> noted.<\/p>\n

Ray Dalio warned the US is \u201con the brink\u201d of shifting from Stage 5 pre-breakdown to Stage 6 systemic breakdown in his Big Cycle framework, citing unsustainable debt and social conflict.<\/p>\n

Later stages may see \u201ccapital controls\u201d and \u201creserve freezes,\u201d he wrote in a long essay<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, gold rose above $5,066 and silver jumped 6.4% to $110.60, setting records as investors favored traditional havens, per Cryptonews<\/a>.<\/p>\n

What breaks the deadlock<\/h2>\n


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Wintermute said \u201csixty days of compression\u201d meeting heavy event risk suggests \u201csomething gives,\u201d identifying $85,000 as key support and an ETF flow reversal as needed to clear the mid-$90k area.<\/p>\n

B2 Ventures\u2019 Arthur Azizov told Cryptonews that Bitcoin remains a risk asset, with a \u201cbase case\u201d of consolidation that holds the $85,000 to $88,000 zone.<\/p>\n

Price snapshot and levels to watch<\/h2>\n


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Bitcoin traded at $88,553 earlier today and rose 1.4% as Asia opened, before slipping back below $88,000. The total crypto market cap stood at $3.06 trillion, down 0.18% on the day, per Cryptonews<\/a>.<\/p>\n