{"id":72120,"date":"2026-05-06T08:06:40","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T08:06:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-crosses-81k-but-derivatives-and-network-activity-remain-low-check-forecast\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T08:06:40","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T08:06:40","slug":"bitcoin-price-crosses-81k-but-derivatives-and-network-activity-remain-low-check-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-crosses-81k-but-derivatives-and-network-activity-remain-low-check-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin price crosses $81K, but derivatives and network activity remain low: check forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<div class=\"-mt-16  mb-8  lg:-mt-20  rounded-md  shadow-md\">\n<div class=\"relative  z-10  post-article-image  rounded  overflow-hidden\" data-site=\"CoinJournal\">\n<picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2026\/02\/Bitcoin-price-outlook-smartcrop-750x375.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2026\/02\/Bitcoin-price-outlook-smartcrop-363x181.webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2026\/02\/Bitcoin-price-outlook-smartcrop-750x375.png\" type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\"\/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/imagecache\/2026\/02\/Bitcoin-price-outlook-smartcrop-363x181.png\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"\/>\n<\/picture>                            <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>Bitcoin (BTC) holds above $81,000 as short-term momentum strengthens.<\/li>\n<li>Weak network growth signals cautious market participation.<\/li>\n<li>BTC faces major resistance at $89,500.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin has climbed above $81,000, extending its monthly recovery and testing its highest trading range in roughly three months.<\/p>\n<p>At press time, BTC was trading around $81,467 after gaining 5.2% over the past seven days and 17.6% over the last 30 days.<\/p>\n<p>The latest move places <a href=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/bitcoin\/what-is-bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> in a critical technical zone, with several underlying metrics suggesting the rally is still developing under cautious conditions rather than broad market conviction.<\/p>\n<h2>Network activity and derivatives participation remain muted<\/h2>\n<p>While Bitcoin\u2019s spot price has improved, on-chain data point to weaker user participation than during previous major rallies.<\/p>\n<p>Active addresses and transaction activity have not increased at the same pace as price, signalling that retail demand remains limited.<\/p>\n<p>This divergence between price and blockchain activity often suggests that current momentum is being supported more by institutional demand and large investors than by widespread organic adoption.<\/p>\n<p>Notably, institutional participation through spot Bitcoin ETFs has surged, with billions in capital inflows helping stabilise prices above key support zones.<\/p>\n<p>However, derivatives market participation has remained relatively restrained compared to previous breakout cycles, with lower speculative leverage and softer futures activity indicating traders are cautious.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, t<a href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/charts\/fear-and-greed-index\/\">he Crypto Fear &amp; Greed Index<\/a> currently reads 50, placing sentiment in neutral territory.<\/p>\n<p>This reflects a market that is neither euphoric nor fearful, reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin\u2019s recent strength has not yet triggered widespread speculative enthusiasm.<\/p>\n<h2>Technical indicators show bullish momentum<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s short-term technical structure remains positive, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinlore.com\/coin\/bitcoin\/forecast\/price-prediction\">12 out of 23 major technical indicators<\/a>\u00a0leaning bullish currently.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, BTC is trading above its 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages, which support continued bullish momentum.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-source=\"CoinJournal\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-364554\" src=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BTCUSD-price-chart.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin price analysis\" width=\"1504\" height=\"904\"\/><\/p>\n<p>However, Bitcoin remains below its long-term 200-day EMA, showing that macro resistance is still intact.<\/p>\n<p>The 14-day Relative Strength Index stands at 69.5, placing BTC just below overbought territory.<\/p>\n<p>While this suggests strong momentum, traders should closely watch for possible exhaustion if RSI breaks above 70 without stronger volume.<\/p>\n<h2>Post-halving cycle points to late-stage expansion<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s fourth halving took place in April 2024, reducing miner rewards to 3.125 BTC per block.<\/p>\n<p>The asset is now approximately 25 months into its post-halving cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, this stage has often aligned with stronger price expansion, heightened volatility, and eventual cycle peaks before larger retracements.<\/p>\n<p>Previous Bitcoin bull cycles reached new all-time highs roughly 1,405 to 1,477 days apart.<\/p>\n<p>Based on this pattern, the current cycle may still have room for further upside, though historical trends also suggest increasing risks of correction as the cycle matures.<\/p>\n<h2>Short-term Bitcoin forecast remains cautiously bullish<\/h2>\n<p>Looking at the current market structure, the immediate resistance zone sits at $89,479.<\/p>\n<p>A confirmed close above that level could open the path toward the next resistance near $90,975.<\/p>\n<p>However, in case of a pullback, especially if the oversold region is reached, then the key support level sits at $75,109.<\/p>\n<p>A break below $75,109 would likely weaken the bullish structure and raise the probability of deeper corrections.<\/p>\n<p>Moving ahead, traders should carefully monitor the Bitcoin ETF inflows, whale accumulation, and RSI behaviour, for clearer confirmation of whether the current move can develop into a larger sustained rally.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-meta\">\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Share this article<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Categories<\/h6>\n<hr class=\"mb-6\"\/>\n<h6 class=\"text-3xl  mb-4  text-green-300\">Tags<\/h6>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/coinjournal.net\/news\/bitcoin-price-crosses-81k-but-derivatives-and-network-activity-remain-low-check-forecast\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : CoinJournal: Latest Crypto News, Altcoin News and Cryptocurrency Comparison ) Bitcoin (BTC) holds above $81,000 as short-term momentum strengthens. Weak network growth signals cautious market participation. BTC faces major resistance at $89,500. Bitcoin has climbed above $81,000, extending its monthly recovery and testing its highest trading range in roughly three months. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":72121,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72120"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72120"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72120\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72121"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72120"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72120"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72120"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}