{"id":73932,"date":"2026-06-12T14:44:52","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T14:44:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/world-cup-2026-could-draw-50-billion-in-bets-a-first-for-prediction-markets\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T14:44:52","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T14:44:52","slug":"world-cup-2026-could-draw-50-billion-in-bets-a-first-for-prediction-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/world-cup-2026-could-draw-50-billion-in-bets-a-first-for-prediction-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"World Cup 2026 Could Draw $50 Billion in Bets, a First for Prediction Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Macquarie projects over $50 billion in global World Cup 2026 bets, up from $35 billion at Qatar 2022.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">It\u2019s the first World Cup with Kalshi and Polymarket taking U.S. action, amid a live CFTC jurisdiction fight.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Crypto sportsbooks Stake, Betfury, and 1win have launched World Cup campaigns worth millions in rewards.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>The first World Cup of the prediction-market era<\/h2>\n<p>The 2026 World Cup, which kicked off in Mexico City on June 11, is on track to be the largest betting event in history. Per the BBC, Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cwydgwdx83yo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">projects<\/a> global wagers could top $50 billion (roughly $500 million per match on average), up from the $35 billion figure from the 2022 tournament in Qatar. The jump tracks the expanded format: 48 teams playing 104 matches across the US, Canada, and Mexico makes for 40 more games compared to four years ago.<\/p>\n<p>There is also a difference in where the money can flow. This is the first modern World Cup to land with most of the U.S. able to bet legally \u2013 about 65% of the population, up from roughly 40% in 2022 \u2013 and the first in which regulated <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-are-prediction-markets\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">prediction markets<\/a> are taking action alongside sportsbooks. Kalshi and Polymarket are listing World Cup event contracts, and newer entrants like <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/fifa-prediction-partner-adi-predictstreet-opens-to-us-traders-despite-licensing-questions-ahead-of-world-cup\/\">FIFA partner<\/a> ADI Predictstreet have launched soccer products timed to the tournament. Even so, the U.S. is expected to make up less than 10% of the global handle, around $3 billion.<\/p>\n<p>That surge arrives in the middle of a jurisdictional fight. The CFTC <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/cftc-says-sports-contracts-involve-gaming-but-proposes-to-allow-almost-all-of-them\/\">proposed<\/a> a rule on June 10 to define sports event contracts as \u201cgaming\u201d while permitting most of them, even as several states pursue Kalshi for what they call illegal sports betting. Whether the World Cup\u2019s contract <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">volume<\/a> cements <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-are-prediction-markets\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">prediction markets<\/a> as a fixture or hands regulators ammunition is now an open question.<\/p>\n<p>The crypto-gambling sector is treating the tournament as a customer-acquisition event. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-staking\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Stake<\/a> rolled out a global football campaign fronted by Iker Casillas, Sergio Aguero, Eden Hazard, and Patrice Evra; Betfury launched a $600,000 World Cup event; and 1win is running a tournament with $5 million in rewards. It mirrors the model Macquarie expects industry-wide: use the World Cup to acquire bettors, then convert one-off punters into repeat customers \u2013 a 2% to 5% boost to operator earnings into 2027, with Flutter, parent of Fanduel, best positioned. Flutter CEO Peter Jackson <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gamblinginsider.com\/news\/166520\/world-cup-2026-responsible-gambling\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">called<\/a> it the \u201cbiggest betting opportunity we\u2019ll have ever seen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Not everyone is celebrating. Les Bernal of Stop Predatory Gambling <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gamblinginsider.com\/news\/166520\/world-cup-2026-responsible-gambling\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">warned<\/a> the wave could push hundreds of thousands into severe debt, arguing that \u201c99 out of 100 sports bettors lose money in the long-term\u201d and that the industry\u2019s model leans on addicted gamblers. UK <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenews.com.pk\/latest\/1405520-fifa-world-cup-2026-set-to-shatter-betting-records-with-50b-in-wagers-but-hidden-risks-loom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">research<\/a> from the National Centre for Social Research found that 79% of gambling revenue comes from the top 10% of spenders. FIFA, meanwhile, stripped gambling sponsors from the names of World Cup host stadiums.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/world-cup-2026-could-draw-50-billion-in-bets-a-first-for-prediction-markets\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Macquarie projects over $50 billion in global World Cup 2026 bets, up from $35 billion at Qatar 2022. It\u2019s the first World Cup with Kalshi and Polymarket taking U.S. action, amid a live CFTC jurisdiction fight. Crypto sportsbooks Stake, Betfury, and 1win have launched World Cup [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362403,"featured_media":73933,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73932"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362403"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73932"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73932\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73933"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73932"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73932"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73932"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}