{"id":74889,"date":"2026-07-03T09:02:40","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T09:02:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/xrp-returns-sink-to-lowest-levels-since-december-2020-as-relief-rally-odds-climb\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T09:02:40","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T09:02:40","slug":"xrp-returns-sink-to-lowest-levels-since-december-2020-as-relief-rally-odds-climb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/xrp-returns-sink-to-lowest-levels-since-december-2020-as-relief-rally-odds-climb\/","title":{"rendered":"XRP Returns Sink to Lowest Levels Since December 2020 as Relief Rally Odds Climb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Santiment says the average XRP trader is down about 47%, a multi-year low flagged as a historic dip-buy setup.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">XRP\u2019s 30-day MVRV sits at its weakest since December 2020, conditions that have often preceded relief rallies.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Analysts eye a possible rebound toward $1.40, though Santiment warns weak readings alone do not ensure a reversal.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>A Rare Loss Zone<\/h2>\n<p>The average <span>XRP<\/span> trader is deep in the red, and analytics firm Santiment says that extreme pain is exactly what tends to come before a bounce. In freshly released data, the firm reported that <span>XRP<\/span> Ledger average trading returns have slumped to their lowest levels in years, leaving short-term holders in a rare loss zone.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Santiment\u2019s reading shows the average active <span>XRP<\/span> trader down about 47% over a 30-day window. The firm\u2019s market value-to-realized value (MVRV) gauge, a metric that compares an asset\u2019s market price to the average price at which its coins last traded, is at its weakest level since December 2020. Historically, MVRV troughs of that depth have marked points of maximum trader frustration rather than the start of deeper collapses.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFear and frustration among traders have reached rare extremes that have historically preceded strong rebounds,\u201d Santiment analysts recently stated on the same gauge, adding that the logic is clear, i.e. when nearly every recent buyer is underwater and sentiment turns uniformly <span>bearish<\/span>, the pool of potential sellers thins, and prices often move opposite the crowd\u2019s expectations.<\/p>\n<h2>Sentiment at Extremes<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond raw returns, Santiment also tracks the balance of <span>bullish<\/span> and <span>bearish<\/span> commentary across social platforms, and that gauge has also flipped toward pessimism. In its late-May snapshot, the firm logged a bullish-to- <span>bearish<\/span> ratio of roughly 1.1-to-1 and weighted sentiment near multi-month lows (the kind of capitulation reading that, in past cycles, has aligned with local bottoms).<\/p>\n<p>In fact, <span>Bitcoin.com<\/span> News <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/xrp-traders-hit-47-losses-as-santiment-flags-historic-dip-buy-setup\/\">reported on that late-May setup<\/a>, when the same 47% average-loss figure and December-2020 MVRV low first flashed as a \u201chistoric dip-buy\u201d signal. The recurrence of those conditions into July suggests <a href=\"https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/price\/xrp\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">XRP<\/a> has spent weeks grinding through a zone of trader exhaustion rather than staging the rebound the data hints at.<\/p>\n<p>That said, weak sentiment is a necessary condition for a relief rally, not a guarantee of one. Santiment has repeatedly cautioned that \u201cweak MVRV readings alone do not guarantee a reversal,\u201d and that any durable recovery would likely depend on renewed exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows, clearer U.S. regulation and fresh adoption catalysts tied to Ripple, the company most associated with the token.<\/p>\n<h2>What Would Turn the Tide<\/h2>\n<p>Some people see room for a relief move toward the $1.40 range if buyers defend current support and momentum indicators begin to turn, while others warn that a broader market wobble could drag <a href=\"https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/price\/xrp\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">XRP<\/a> lower before any bounce takes hold.<\/p>\n<p>A long-running fight over U.S. market-structure legislation and the pace of spot <a href=\"https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/price\/xrp\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">XRP<\/a> ETF approvals has also continued to shape sentiment, and Santiment stresses that a headline-driven pop would likely produce a relief rally rather than a genuine trend change until the wider market steadies. In other words, the data says the fuel for a bounce is in place but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/price\/xrp\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">XRP<\/a> still needs a spark.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/xrp-trader-returns-multi-year-low-santiment\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Santiment says the average XRP trader is down about 47%, a multi-year low flagged as a historic dip-buy setup. XRP\u2019s 30-day MVRV sits at its weakest since December 2020, conditions that have often preceded relief rallies. Analysts eye a possible rebound toward $1.40, though Santiment warns [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362404,"featured_media":74890,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74889"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362404"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74889"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74889\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74890"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}