{"id":75130,"date":"2026-07-08T17:12:36","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T17:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/prediction-market-volume-jumped-75-to-44-8b-in-june-as-the-world-cup-drove-record-trading\/"},"modified":"2026-07-08T17:12:36","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T17:12:36","slug":"prediction-market-volume-jumped-75-to-44-8b-in-june-as-the-world-cup-drove-record-trading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/prediction-market-volume-jumped-75-to-44-8b-in-june-as-the-world-cup-drove-record-trading\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction Market Volume Jumped 75% to $44.8B in June as the World Cup Drove Record Trading"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket U.S. traded a combined $44.8B in June, up 75% from May\u2019s $25.66B.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Kalshi took the largest share at $31.5B, roughly 70% of the total, growing 87% month over month.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Trading volume is not money staked \u2013 contracts are resold repeatedly, so the figure overstates funds at risk.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>The World Cup-induced growth spurt continues<\/h2>\n<p>Kalshi, combined with Polymarket\u2019s international platform and its U.S.-regulated exchange, recorded a combined $44.8 billion in monthly <span>trading volume<\/span> in June. This marks a 75% jump from May\u2019s $25.66 billion, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/data\/decentralized-finance\/prediction-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Block\u2019s data dashboard.<\/a> Kalshi drove most of the increase, growing 87% month over month to $31.5 billion.<\/p>\n<p>The main cause of the growth is the FIFA World Cup co-hosted by the U.S., which began on June 11 and quickly became the largest <span>liquidity<\/span> event the sector has seen. Kalshi alone processed about $7.4 billion in World Cup trades during the tournament so far \u2013 more than its entire March Madness <span>volume<\/span> \u2013 while Polymarket\u2019s event markets drew roughly $6.4 billion, demonstrating that they can absorb sustained trading around one recurring subject.<\/p>\n<p>Prediction-market <span>volume<\/span> had climbed steadily earlier in 2026 \u2014 combined monthly totals were around $25.7 billion in March and $25.66 billion in May, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/prediction-market-traders-push-april-2026-volume-to-8-6b-kalshi-takes-the-lead\/\">per earlier tracking<\/a> \u2013 so June\u2019s $44.8 billion marks a tournament-driven step change rather than a departure from the trend. Whether that level holds once the World Cup ends is the open question; June was as much a test of event-driven demand as a durable record, and while the tournament is only just approaching its business end, the elimination of the USMNT will inevitably impact fan interest.<\/p>\n<p>Some trackers put June\u2019s total above $50 billion; that figure, using Artemis data, counts additional venues such as the Robinhood-backed Rothera alongside Kalshi and Polymarket, whereas The Block\u2019s $44.8 billion covers the two dominant platforms and Polymarket US \u2013 the two measure different venue sets rather than contradicting each other. A separate $50 billion figure has also circulated: <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/world-cup-2026-could-draw-50-billion-in-bets-a-first-for-prediction-markets\/\">Macquarie\u2019s pre-tournament forecast<\/a> for the <em>total<\/em> World Cup wagering across the whole event, which is a projection of all betting activity over roughly six weeks \u2014 not a measure of monthly prediction-market <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">trading volume<\/a>, and not directly comparable to it.<\/p>\n<p>It is also worth keeping in mind that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">volume<\/a> is not the same as money wagered. Prediction-market contracts are bought and sold repeatedly before a market settles, so a single dollar can change hands many times and be counted at each step \u2013 meaning the headline <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">volume<\/a> overstates the amount actually staked on outcomes.<\/p>\n<p>For comparison, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2026\/05\/27\/trading-volume-on-prediction-markets-has-soared-in-recent-months\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pew Research Center has noted<\/a> that U.S. legal sportsbooks handled around $14 billion per month in wagers in 2025, a figure that measures money bet rather than contracts traded, and is not directly comparable to prediction-market <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">volume<\/a> for that reason.<\/p>\n<p>Whether June\u2019s level marks a durable shift or just a World Cup spike is the key question of the coming months. For sports fans, there is always going to be something to follow and trade on.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/prediction-market-volume-jumped-75-to-44-8b-in-june-as-the-world-cup-drove-record-trading\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket U.S. traded a combined $44.8B in June, up 75% from May\u2019s $25.66B. Kalshi took the largest share at $31.5B, roughly 70% of the total, growing 87% month over month. Trading volume is not money staked \u2013 contracts are resold repeatedly, so the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362403,"featured_media":75131,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75130"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362403"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75130"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75130\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75131"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75130"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75130"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75130"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}