{"id":75578,"date":"2026-07-18T17:08:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T17:08:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/drake-drops-1-5m-usdt-bet-on-argentina-despite-spains-world-cup-edge\/"},"modified":"2026-07-18T17:08:38","modified_gmt":"2026-07-18T17:08:38","slug":"drake-drops-1-5m-usdt-bet-on-argentina-despite-spains-world-cup-edge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/drake-drops-1-5m-usdt-bet-on-argentina-despite-spains-world-cup-edge\/","title":{"rendered":"Drake Drops $1.5M USDT Bet on Argentina Despite Spain&#8217;s World Cup Edge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Drake bet $1.5 million in USDT on Argentina at +245 odds through Stake ahead of the July 19 final.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Drake has lost $5.7 million in public bets since Kendrick Lamar\u2019s Euphoria dropped on April 30, 2024.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Polymarket traders put $158 million on Argentina even as Kalshi prices Spain as the 59% favorite.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The rapper <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Stake\/status\/2078348767976362426?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">placed<\/a> the bet through <span>Stake<\/span>, the <span>crypto<\/span> betting platform he has partnered with since a reported $100 million deal in 2022, at odds of +245. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET on July 19 in a final that pits Argentina\u2019s bid for back-to-back titles against a young Spain side built around Lamine Yamal. Drake shared the slip publicly, a habit that has made his win-loss record a running storyline across social media.<\/p>\n<h2>A Track Record Built on Volume, Not Consistency<\/h2>\n<p>Drake has placed 87 tracked public bets since February 2022, wagering $38.72 million and collecting $37.17 million in returns, for a net loss of $1.56 million, according to data compiled by <a href=\"https:\/\/thedrakecurse.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">thedrakecurse.com<\/a>. According to the site\u2019s data, he has won 32 of those bets, a strike rate of 36.8%, with an average <span>stake<\/span> of $445,080.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_832106\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-832106\" style=\"width:1474px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-832106\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The betting platform <span>Stake<\/span> sharing Drake\u2019s bet on X on Saturday.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Soccer has been his weakest category, costing him $1.67 million across his bets, including a $1 million wager on Argentina against France in the 2022 final that lost on a technicality tied to extra time, even though Argentina won the match. Cricket is the only sport where he shows a clear profit, up $997,500.<\/p>\n<p>UFC events draw the most action from him, with $14.45 million placed across 26 bets, a category that includes a $1.45 million win on Jon Jones and a $1.595 million loss on Israel Adesanya. The losses have piled up since April 30, 2024, when Kendrick Lamar released \u201cEuphoria\u201d and reignited a rap feud that coincided with a rough betting stretch.<\/p>\n<p>Drake is down $5.7 million across his public wagers since that date, a stretch that includes a $1 million loss on Conor McGregor against Max Holloway this July and a $1 million loss backing the Patriots in the 2026 Super Bowl.<\/p>\n<h2>The \u2018Drake Curse\u2019 Meets Messi\u2019s Second Act<\/h2>\n<p>Online, the bet has <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/search?q=Drake%20Curse&amp;src=typed_query\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">revived talk<\/a> of the \u201cDrake Curse,\u201d the idea that teams and athletes he backs tend to lose. The pattern traces back to his support of Kentucky basketball in 2013 and Serena Williams at the 2015 U.S. Open, both of which ended in upsets, and continued through Alabama\u2019s 2019 title-game loss and the Golden State Warriors\u2019 collapse in the 2016 NBA Finals.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-832108 size-full\" title=\"Drake Drops $1.5M USDT Bet on Argentina Despite Spain's World Cup Edge\" src=\"https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-18-at-11-34-42-am.png\" alt=\"X post on Drake's bet. \" width=\"1334\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-18-at-11-34-42-am-300x162.png 300w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-18-at-11-34-42-am-1024x553.png 1024w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-18-at-11-34-42-am-768x415.png 768w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-18-at-11-34-42-am.png 1334w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1334px) 100vw, 1334px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Thedrakecurse.com counts roughly 11 instances where he bet on a clear favorite that went on to lose, including the Oklahoma City Thunder at -270 odds in the 2025 NBA Finals. Drake addressed the reputation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/DJ2ZXxcO_IV\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">directly<\/a> in a <span>Stake<\/span> advertisement, saying he does not believe in a \u201ccurse\u201d and calling himself a flawed bettor, pointing to the Toronto Raptors\u2019 2019 championship as evidence against it.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts who track his betting record note that his highest-profile losses draw more attention than his wins, which skews public perception even as his overall numbers show real variance across hundreds of millions of dollars in action.<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction Markets Split on the Outcome<\/h2>\n<p>The day before the big match, <span>prediction markets<\/span> show a <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/world-cup-betting-frenzy-5-5b-wagers-back-spain-to-crush-argentina\/\">decent gap<\/a> between the betting favorite and where the money is flowing. On <a href=\"https:\/\/srt.bitcoin.com\/polymarket-newsart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Polymarket<\/a>, the World Cup winner contract has drawn $4.28 billion in total <span>volume<\/span> as of July 18, with Spain priced at 59 cents per share and Argentina at 40 cents, after narrowing from a field of more than 50 teams.<\/p>\n<p>Despite Spain\u2019s higher implied probability, Polymarket traders have committed more dollars to Argentina. The platform shows $158 million staked on an Argentina win against $123.5 million on <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/spains-cnmv-issues-urgent-warning-ahead-of-june-30-mica-crypto-deadline\/\">Spain<\/a>, meaning the underdog is pulling more capital even though it trails in win probability.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/srt.bitcoin.com\/kalshi-may\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kalshi<\/a>\u2018s separate Spain-versus-Argentina market shows a similar lean toward Spain as the favorite. The exchange prices Spain at 59%, paying 1.65x on a win, and Argentina at roughly 41%, paying 2.34x. Reported <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">volume<\/a> figures for the Kalshi market vary by source, ranging from $1.25 billion to $1.29 billion, so the exact total remains unconfirmed.<\/p>\n<h2>What a Win or Loss Means for Drake<\/h2>\n<p>An Argentina win would net Drake roughly $3.67 million in profit on this single bet, enough to erase most of his losses since the 2024 losing stretch began. A Spain win would add another data point to the curse narrative and push his soccer losses well past $2.5 million.<\/p>\n<p>Drake\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-staking\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Stake<\/a> partnership has kept his bets in public view through livestreams and social posts. The arrangement has also drawn scrutiny, including lawsuits alleging the promotions glamorize gambling to younger audiences, claims Drake has pushed back on publicly.<\/p>\n<p>For traders watching the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/a-quick-introduction-to-crypto\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">crypto<\/a> betting and <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/world-cup-prediction-markets-hit-5-81-billion-across-52-events-amid-buying-frenzy\/\">prediction market<\/a> space, the final offers a real-time test of how celebrity wagers move alongside decentralized markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, where odds shift continuously with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">trading volume<\/a> rather than sitting fixed at a single sportsbook line.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async defer src=\"https:\/\/platform.instagram.com\/en_US\/embeds.js\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/drake-drops-1-5m-usdt-bet-on-argentina-despite-spains-world-cup-edge\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Drake bet $1.5 million in USDT on Argentina at +245 odds through Stake ahead of the July 19 final. Drake has lost $5.7 million in public bets since Kendrick Lamar\u2019s Euphoria dropped on April 30, 2024. Polymarket traders put $158 million on Argentina even as Kalshi [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":75579,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75578"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75578"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75578\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75579"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75578"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75578"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75578"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}