{"id":75622,"date":"2026-07-19T17:33:39","date_gmt":"2026-07-19T17:33:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/former-ufc-champion-conor-mcgregor-risks-100k-on-viral-3-2-world-cup-prophecy-with-a-3-6m-payday\/"},"modified":"2026-07-19T17:33:39","modified_gmt":"2026-07-19T17:33:39","slug":"former-ufc-champion-conor-mcgregor-risks-100k-on-viral-3-2-world-cup-prophecy-with-a-3-6m-payday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/former-ufc-champion-conor-mcgregor-risks-100k-on-viral-3-2-world-cup-prophecy-with-a-3-6m-payday\/","title":{"rendered":"Former UFC Champion Conor McGregor Risks $100K on Viral 3-2 World Cup Prophecy With a $3.6M Payday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">McGregor risked $100,000 on Argentina winning 3-2 for a potential $3.6 million return.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Kalshi gave Spain 58.2% odds as its World Cup market topped $1.4 billion in volume.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Drake added $1.5 million on Argentina before the July 19 final against Spain.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The former <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/trumps-crypto-firm-wlfi-backs-ufc-freedom-250-with-250k-in-stablecoin-fighter-bonuses-37856\/\">UFC<\/a> champion shared the exact-score wager through 1xBet ahead of the 3 p.m. EDT kickoff on Sunday, July 19. The bet must hit within regulation time, meaning Argentina must lead 3-2 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, regardless of what happens in extra time or a penalty shootout.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_832353\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-832353\" style=\"width:1474px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-832353\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Conor McGregor\u2019s X post showing off his latest wager.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>McGregor <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TheNotoriousMMA\/status\/2078851065202749683?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">explained<\/a> that the wager was inspired by \u201csome guy on the internet,\u201d referring to a July 11, 2021, post that declared: \u201cArgentina just beat Spain at the 2026 World Cup final, 3-2.\u201d The dormant prediction resurfaced after both countries reached the final, turning an old social media post into one of the match\u2019s most prominent betting narratives.<\/p>\n<h2>A $3.6 Million Payday Hangs on One Exact Score<\/h2>\n<p>At odds near 36.00, McGregor\u2019s $100,000 <span>stake<\/span> could return approximately $3.6 million if the precise result materializes. Any other score, including an Argentina victory by a different margin, would result in a loss.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_832357\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-832357\" style=\"width:1330px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-832357 size-full\" title=\"UFC Champion Conor McGregor Risks $100K on Viral 3-2 World Cup Prophecy With a $3.6M Payday\" src=\"https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-19-at-11-44-25-am.png\" alt=\"Screenshot of the dilemma X post from 2021. \" width=\"1330\" height=\"334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-19-at-11-44-25-am-300x75.png 300w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-19-at-11-44-25-am-1024x257.png 1024w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-19-at-11-44-25-am-768x193.png 768w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/screenshot-2026-07-19-at-11-44-25-am.png 1330w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1330px) 100vw, 1330px\"\/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-832357\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The July 11, 2021, X post. Today, on July 19, the X account dilemma stated, \u201c\u2026today is the day.\u201d The original 2021 X post has 300,000 likes at the time of writing.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The narrow conditions separate McGregor\u2019s wager from a conventional bet on Argentina to lift the trophy. Spain and Argentina could finish regulation tied, with Argentina winning in extra time or on penalties, and McGregor\u2019s ticket would still fail.<\/p>\n<p>McGregor called Argentina \u201cthe most mispriced line\u201d on the board, but the wager appears to lean as heavily on the viral prediction as on traditional match analysis. Exact-score contracts carry long odds because bettors must correctly identify the winner and the final regulation score.<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction Markets Give Spain the Edge<\/h2>\n<p>The broader market entered Sunday favoring Spain. <a href=\"https:\/\/srt.bitcoin.com\/kalshi-may\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kalshi<\/a> traders assigned Spain a 58.2% probability of winning the World Cup, compared with 42% for Argentina, across a market reporting more than $1.4 billion in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-trading-volume\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">trading volume<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Kalshi\u2019s regulation-time contracts placed Spain\u2019s chance of winning within 90 minutes at 43%, a draw at 32% and Argentina\u2019s chance at 27%. The platform also priced the likelihood of more than 2.5 match goals at 42%, indicating traders generally expected a tighter or lower-scoring contest than McGregor\u2019s five-goal prediction.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/srt.bitcoin.com\/polymarket-newsart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Polymarket<\/a> reflected similar expectations shortly before kickoff. Spain traded near a 59% chance of advancing as champion, while Argentina stood near 41%. Its regulation-time moneyline priced Spain at roughly 42.75%, a draw at 31.75% and Argentina at 26.75%.<\/p>\n<p>Those figures make McGregor\u2019s prediction a two-part challenge. Argentina must overcome the market favorite, and the match must produce exactly five goals in the required 3-2 sequence.<\/p>\n<h2>Drake Piles $1.5 Million Onto Argentina<\/h2>\n<p>McGregor is not the only celebrity placing a major wager on Lionel Messi and Argentina. Canadian rapper Drake <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/drake-drops-1-5m-usdt-bet-on-argentina-despite-spains-world-cup-edge\/\">staked $1.5 million<\/a> through <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-staking\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Stake<\/a> on Argentina winning the final in regulation or extra time, with a potential payout exceeding $5 million.<\/p>\n<p>Drake\u2019s bet carries broader winning conditions because it does not require a particular score. Still, his public wagering history has generated the recurring \u201cDrake curse\u201d meme, which links his selections to subsequent defeats.<\/p>\n<p>Together, the two wagers place $1.6 million of publicly disclosed celebrity money behind Argentina. Their social media posts have also expanded attention beyond traditional sports betting audiences, drawing casual observers into <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-are-prediction-markets\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">prediction markets<\/a>, exact-score props, and match-outcome contracts.<\/p>\n<h2>McGregor Has Cashed Major Soccer Bets Before<\/h2>\n<p>McGregor\u2019s willingness to back Argentina is consistent with his recent tournament betting record. He wagered \u20ac83,500 on Spain to win Euro 2024 at roughly 11-to-1 odds, collecting a return exceeding \u20ac1 million after Spain captured the title.<\/p>\n<p>He also placed a substantial wager on Argentina to win the 2024 Copa Am\u00e9rica. Argentina defeated Colombia 1-0 in the final, giving McGregor another widely publicized soccer betting victory.<\/p>\n<p>Not every high-profile selection has landed. <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/conor-mcgregor-sparks-decentralization-dogfight-between-bitcoiners-and-multi-chain-believers\/\">McGregor<\/a> also backed Cristiano Ronaldo to win the Euro 2024 Golden Boot, a wager that failed when Ronaldo did not finish as the tournament\u2019s leading scorer. Reports differed significantly on the size of that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/get-started\/what-is-staking\/\" class=\"lar_link lar_link_outgoing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">stake<\/a>, illustrating the difficulty of verifying every celebrity betting claim.<\/p>\n<p>McGregor\u2019s $100,000 ticket will be settled within hours. A 3-2 Argentina victory would turn a forgotten 2021 post into a multimillion-dollar prophecy. Every other regulation-time score would leave it as another viral prediction that came close, or never came close at all.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, dilemma, the X account that made the World Cup prediction in 2021, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/actuallyimthe\/status\/2078795983974973937?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">posted<\/a> today and said:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201c\u2026today is the day.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>While his original prediction has garnered 300,000 likes, his latest \u201ctoday is the day\u201d post has gathered around 75,000 likes at the time of writing.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/former-ufc-champion-conor-mcgregor-risks-100k-on-viral-3-2-world-cup-prophecy-with-a-3-6m-payday\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways McGregor risked $100,000 on Argentina winning 3-2 for a potential $3.6 million return. Kalshi gave Spain 58.2% odds as its World Cup market topped $1.4 billion in volume. Drake added $1.5 million on Argentina before the July 19 final against Spain. The former UFC champion shared [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":75623,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75622"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75622\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}