{"id":77000,"date":"2026-08-19T08:47:30","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T08:47:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoins-correction-may-be-ending-as-8-of-12-signals-fire\/"},"modified":"2026-08-19T08:47:30","modified_gmt":"2026-08-19T08:47:30","slug":"bitcoins-correction-may-be-ending-as-8-of-12-signals-fire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoins-correction-may-be-ending-as-8-of-12-signals-fire\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin&#8217;s Correction May Be Ending as 8 of 12 Signals Fire"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Vaneck\u2019s Matthew Sigel says 8 of 12 bitcoin capitulation signals fired as of August 18.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Long-term holders sold 356,000 BTC in 30 days, dropping their supply share below 60%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Vaneck projects a possible accumulation phase between September and November 2026.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>What Vaneck\u2019s Latest Report Found<\/h2>\n<p>Asset manager Vaneck published its mid-August <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vaneck.com\/us\/en\/blogs\/digital-assets\/matthew-sigel-vaneck-mid-august-2026-bitcoin-chaincheck\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bitcoin Chaincheck report<\/a>, authored by Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel and Senior Investment Analyst Patrick Bush, arguing that bitcoin is showing \u201cwhat appears to be bitcoin price capitulation\u201d and may be \u201cnearing or currently in an accumulation phase.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin was trading around $64,500 at the time of the report, having spent most of the past two months range-bound between $58,000 and $66,500, a band that sits 48% below the cryptocurrency\u2019s October 2025 all-time high of $126,300.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_840474\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-840474\" style=\"width:1406px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-840474\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Image source: Vaneck<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The report tracks 12 separate capitulation indicators, onchain and market-based metrics that historically cluster together <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/featured\/glassnode-bitcoin-sellers-showing-exhaustion-around-64000-but-no-bottom-yet\/\">near cycle bottoms<\/a>, and found that 8 of them were flashing as of the report\u2019s publication. All 12 had touched capitulation territory at some point over the prior three months, suggesting the current downturn has been broad rather than concentrated in a single corner of the market.<\/p>\n<h2>Long-Term Holders Are Finally Selling<\/h2>\n<p>The most striking data point in Vaneck\u2019s report is what long-term holders (i.e. wallets that have held bitcoin for 155 days or longer) have <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-whale-from-2012-suddenly-moves-13-7m-after-14-years\/\">done in the past month<\/a>. They shed 356,000 BTC over 30 days, pushing their share of total circulating supply below 60% for the first time in months, even as their absolute holdings remain substantial at roughly 11.84 million BTC.<\/p>\n<p>Long-term holder selling near the later stages of a drawdown is a pattern Vaneck and other analysts have flagged in prior cycles, since it typically reflects capitulation among investors who had been holding through the decline rather than fresh short-term speculation.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, Vaneck analysts noted that bitcoin is now roughly 11 months into its correction from the early October 2025 peak. Looking back at the cryptocurrency\u2019s three previous bear markets, the firm calculated an average of 12.7 months from peak to maximum drawdown, which would put a potential turning point somewhere between September and November of this year if the current cycle follows historical form.<\/p>\n<h2>The Caveat Vaneck Wants Investors to Hear<\/h2>\n<p>Vaneck was careful to temper the bullish read, noting that prior periods where 8 to 12 of its signals fired simultaneously have historically produced average 90-day and 180-day forward returns that came in below bitcoin\u2019s typical baseline performance, meaning capitulation signals are not a reliable short-term timing tool. On a longer horizon, though, Vaneck said forward one-year returns from buying near capitulation zones have tended to exceed typical price action in prior cycles, albeit based on a small sample size given bitcoin\u2019s relatively short trading history.<\/p>\n<p>This is not the first time Sigel\u2019s team has staked out a bullish long-term view mid-drawdown. Vaneck has previously set a <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/vanecks-matthew-sigel-sets-bitcoin-target-at-180000\/\">$180,000 bitcoin price target<\/a> and argued the asset was showing strength even as broader liquidity conditions shifted, a stance the firm has largely maintained through 2026\u2019s volatility.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/crypto-news\/vaneck-bitcoin-capitulation-signals-august-2026\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Vaneck\u2019s Matthew Sigel says 8 of 12 bitcoin capitulation signals fired as of August 18. Long-term holders sold 356,000 BTC in 30 days, dropping their supply share below 60%. Vaneck projects a possible accumulation phase between September and November 2026. What Vaneck\u2019s Latest Report Found Asset [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362404,"featured_media":77001,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77000"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362404"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77000"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77000\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77000"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77000"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77000"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}