{"id":78601,"date":"2026-09-24T11:43:19","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T11:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T11:43:19","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T11:43:19","slug":"bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Drops Below $85K as PlanB Maps October Path to $100K"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Bitcoin recovered above $80K and reclaimed its 365-day average, reviving $100K scenarios.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Glassnode sees a shallower drawdown and restrained profit-taking, supporting a stronger setup.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">PlanB\u2019s $100K October path depends on BTC holding above $80.5K and sustaining demand.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Bitcoin Reclaims 365-Day Average<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin is back near $86,000, and the market is once again debating whether the next major stop is six figures.<\/p>\n<p>PlanB, the analyst behind bitcoin\u2019s stock-to-flow model, outlined a scenario that would put BTC at $100,000 in October, above its previous $126,000 record before Christmas, and beyond $232,000 sometime in 2027 or 2028.<\/p>\n<p>He was careful to frame the path as \u201cfood for thought,\u201d not a prediction.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_850177\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-850177\" style=\"width:1178px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-850177\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: PlanB on X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Still, the timing has caught traders\u2019 attention. Bitcoin has reclaimed its 365-day moving average near $80,500, a level historically associated with stronger market regimes, while prediction markets cited in the discussion now assign roughly a 40% chance of <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/price-predictions\/someone-bet-3-17m-bitcoin-price-rising-could-lose-big-100k\/\">bitcoin\u2019s price reaching $100,000 this year<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>The Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Under Pressure<\/h2>\n<p>Not everyone agrees on how the recovery fits bitcoin\u2019s price traditional cycle.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/LayahHeilpern\/status\/2102804416910995942?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Layah Heilpern noted<\/a> that BTC peaked on Oct. 6, 2025, roughly in line with the four-year cycle pattern. Previous major bitcoin bottoms arrived around 12 to 13 months after their respective peaks, potentially placing the next cyclical low between early October and mid-November.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c[It] could be different this time, but it\u2019s not over until it\u2019s over,\u201d Heilpern wrote.<\/p>\n<p>Historical comparisons support the timing argument. The 2013 cycle took about 406 days to reach its final low, while the 2017 and 2021 cycles required roughly 364 and 376 days, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Glassnode, however, sees an important difference.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe four-year cycle playbook many relied on has not worked for this BTC bear,\u201d the analytics firm said. Unlike previous downturns, which were more than twice as deep by this stage, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bitcoin.com\/price\/bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bitcoin\u2019s price<\/a> remains roughly 30% below its peak and is recovering.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_850179\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-850179\" style=\"width:2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-850179\" src=\"https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-scaled.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Price Drops Below $85K as PlanB Maps October Path to $100K\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-2048x1152.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-190x107.jpeg 190w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-380x214.jpeg 380w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-760x428.jpeg 760w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-1520x855.jpeg 1520w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-1280x720.jpeg 1280w, https:\/\/static.news.bitcoin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k-2-scaled.jpeg 2560w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\"\/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-850179\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Glassnode Data Shows Selling Remains Controlled<\/h2>\n<p>Onchain behavior is also less aggressive than at previous market tops.<\/p>\n<p>Glassnode data show net realized profit around levels last seen in late 2023, well below the heavy profit realization associated with prior euphoric phases. Recent rallies have also produced lighter selling than comparable moves during 2024 and 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Short-term bitcoin holders are largely back in profit, but realized gains remain contained. That suggests investors are distributing coins gradually rather than rushing for the exits.<\/p>\n<p>For crypto markets, that is constructive as long as fresh demand continues absorbing the supply.<\/p>\n<h2>$100K Is Back on the Radar, but Timing Is the Risk<\/h2>\n<p>Other cycle roadmaps circulating among traders envision a more aggressive advance, including a potential peak near $190,000 early next year, followed by distribution and another bear-market phase.<\/p>\n<p>Those paths remain scenarios, not forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>The more immediate question is whether bitcoin can hold above its long-term moving average and convert the <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/market-updates\/bitcoin-price-plunges-below-84k-rally-snaps\/\">mid-$80,000 range into support<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>If profit-taking stays controlled and new demand persists, the path toward $100,000 becomes easier to argue. If the older four-year cycle reasserts itself, however, bitcoin may still face one final test before the market can declare the downturn over.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/price-predictions\/bitcoin-price-drops-below-85k-as-planb-maps-october-path-to-100k\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Bitcoin recovered above $80K and reclaimed its 365-day average, reviving $100K scenarios. Glassnode sees a shallower drawdown and restrained profit-taking, supporting a stronger setup. PlanB\u2019s $100K October path depends on BTC holding above $80.5K and sustaining demand. Bitcoin Reclaims 365-Day Average Bitcoin is back near $86,000, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362377,"featured_media":78602,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78601"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362377"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78601"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78601\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78602"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78601"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78601"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78601"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}