{"id":79003,"date":"2026-10-03T11:19:27","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T11:19:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/strategys-847666-bitcoin-could-be-worth-161b-on-a-btc-gold-reversal\/"},"modified":"2026-10-03T11:19:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T11:19:27","slug":"strategys-847666-bitcoin-could-be-worth-161b-on-a-btc-gold-reversal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/strategys-847666-bitcoin-could-be-worth-161b-on-a-btc-gold-reversal\/","title":{"rendered":"Strategy&#8217;s 847,666 Bitcoin Could Be Worth $161B on a BTC\/Gold Reversal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Adam Livingston\u2019s scenario needs gold up 15% to $4,760 and BTC\/gold back at its Dec. 2024 peak.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Bitcoin buys about 20.4 ounces of gold today, down roughly 49% from about 40 ounces in December 2024.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">The scenario implies a $190,858 bitcoin, about 51% above the record set in October 2025.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>The Claim<\/h2>\n<p>Strategy\u2019s stack is worth about $71.6 billion at the moment. Bitcoin priced in gold peaked at 40.1 ounces around December 2024 and now sits near 20.4 ounces today. Bitcoin treasury Strive\u2019s VP of investments, Adam Livingston, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AdamBLiv\/status\/2106208043499164071\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">asks what happens if two things occur<\/a>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight:400\" aria-level=\"1\">Gold rises 15% to $4,760 an ounce.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight:400\" aria-level=\"1\">The BTC\/gold ratio returns to its old high. Not a new high, just a level it has already printed approx. 21 months ago.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The answer is bitcoin at $190,858 and a Strategy treasury worth $161.8 billion.<\/p>\n<h2>Gold Gets Back to $4,760?<\/h2>\n<p>Gold futures closed at about <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/GC=F\/history\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$4,162 an ounce<\/a> yesterday, so a 15% climb lands near the aforementioned target. Gold has been far higher this year as it broke above $5,000 in January on geopolitical stress, then gave back more than 20% from its peak. The last leg down came fast, when <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/featured\/gold-silver-550-billion-wipeout-bitcoin-price\/\">gold and silver shed $550 billion<\/a> in a matter of hours on Sept. 28.<\/p>\n<p>The second step checks out on the data as well and using daily closes for bitcoin\u2019s price and gold futures, the ratio tops out near 40 ounces on Dec. 17, 2024, when bitcoin traded around $106,140 and gold near $2,662. Livingston\u2019s 40.1, in this regard, probably reflects intraday or spot pricing. Today the figure is about 20.4 ounces, with bitcoin near $84,600, a drop of roughly 49%.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, an ounce of gold buys twice as much bitcoin as it did 21 months ago. Gold ran up while bitcoin fell back from its highs, and that gap is what the scenario bets will close.<\/p>\n<p>Multiply it out and the numbers hold, i.e. 40.1 ounces at $4,760 is about $190,860 per bitcoin. Strategy\u2019s 847,666 BTC, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/crypto-news\/strategy-buys-1665-more-bitcoin-as-its-btc-treasury-hits-847666\/\">bought for about $63.95 billion<\/a> at an average of $75,437 a coin, would then be worth roughly $161.8 billion, a paper gain near $98 billion.<\/p>\n<p>In dollars, though, $190,858 would be a huge new high. Bitcoin\u2019s record is roughly $126,000, set on Oct. 6, 2025, and Livingston\u2019s target sits about 51% above it.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, it bears mentioning that BTC and gold haven\u2019t been moving together lately. Since the Sept. 28 sell-off, bitcoin\u2019s price has bounced from about $82,780 to roughly $84,600 while gold has gone flat near $4,160, and the ratio has only started to lift off its lows.<\/p>\n<h2>What Markets Are Predicting<\/h2>\n<p>While many experts and bettors alike see a bullish near-term future for bitcoin, the numbers all sit well below the $190,000 mark:<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, even though Livingston\u2019s math is internally sound, its biggest assumption isn\u2019t gold but rather that bitcoin can win back nearly two years of underperformance against the metal in a single move.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/featured\/strategy-bitcoin-161-8b-btc-gold-ratio-190k\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Adam Livingston\u2019s scenario needs gold up 15% to $4,760 and BTC\/gold back at its Dec. 2024 peak. Bitcoin buys about 20.4 ounces of gold today, down roughly 49% from about 40 ounces in December 2024. The scenario implies a $190,858 bitcoin, about 51% above the record [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362404,"featured_media":79004,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79003"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362404"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79003"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79003\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79004"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79003"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79003"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79003"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}