{"id":79434,"date":"2026-10-13T04:09:14","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T04:09:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/parlays-push-kalshi-past-3-9-billion-in-a-day-twice-in-a-weekend\/"},"modified":"2026-10-13T04:09:14","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T04:09:14","slug":"parlays-push-kalshi-past-3-9-billion-in-a-day-twice-in-a-weekend","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/parlays-push-kalshi-past-3-9-billion-in-a-day-twice-in-a-weekend\/","title":{"rendered":"Parlays Push Kalshi Past $3.9 Billion in a Day, Twice in a Weekend"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News )<\/b><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"@container mb-[25px] rounded-sm overflow-clip py-0.5 pr-0.5 pl-2.5 bg-success-100\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-col gap-m overflow-clip rounded-[6px] !bg-success-10 p-3 @[420px]:p-m\">\n<h2 class=\"m-0 flex items-center gap-s text-[19px] !text-[#1c1c1c] md:text-[20px]\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"10\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 10\" fill=\"none\" class=\"shrink-0 text-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M1 1.5h14\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M1 8.5h10\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/><\/svg><span>Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul class=\"m-0 flex list-none flex-col gap-m pl-0\">\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Kalshi\u2019s notional volume reached a record $3.91 billion on Saturday and $3.96 billion on Sunday.<\/span><\/li>\n<li class=\"m-0 flex items-start gap-s !text-[#434248]\"><span class=\"mt-2 size-2 shrink-0 rounded-full bg-success-100\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><span class=\"text-body\">Combos made up 71.6% of Saturday\u2019s volume and 69.4% of Sunday\u2019s, and most of the weekly growth.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Combos Supplied Most of the Growth<\/h2>\n<p>Kalshi\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/market-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">daily market data<\/a>, which runs on U.S. Eastern days, shows $3.91 billion in notional volume on Saturday, Oct. 10, and $3.96 billion on Sunday, Oct. 11, both above the previous high of $3.68 billion set on Sunday, Oct. 4. Notional volume counts each contract at its full $1 payout, which the buyer and seller fund between them according to the price.<\/p>\n<p>Both days were about 61% above the corresponding days of the NFL\u2019s opening weekend, when Kalshi set <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/igaming\/kalshi-beats-the-books-on-nfl-totals-loses-to-fanduel-on-moneylines\/\">consecutive daily records at under $2.5 billion each<\/a>. It has now passed $3 billion on seven days, all of them since Sept. 19.<\/p>\n<p>Combos, Kalshi\u2019s parlay-style contracts that bundle several outcomes into one, accounted for $2.80 billion of Saturday\u2019s volume, or 71.6%, and $2.75 billion of Sunday\u2019s, or 69.4%. They also supplied most of the week-over-week growth. Saturday\u2019s total was $459 million higher than on Oct. 3, with combos up $400 million, and Sunday\u2019s was $279 million higher than on Oct. 4, with combos up $218 million.<\/p>\n<p>Much of that combo volume came from long-shot parlays. About 1.9 billion of Saturday\u2019s 2.8 billion combo contracts, and 1.6 billion of Sunday\u2019s 2.75 billion, were in combos whose Yes side never traded at 1 cent or more that day. In those trades, the parlay buyer paid a fraction of a cent per contract and the other side put up the rest of the $1. The rise in those contracts alone accounted for about three-quarters of Saturday\u2019s increase over the previous Saturday and 86% of Sunday\u2019s. One 13-leg combo on NFL winners traded 12.1 million contracts on Sunday at Yes prices between 0.01 cent and 0.44 cent. Parlay buyers paid about $13,800 for them, and the other side put up about $12.1 million. The parlay lost.<\/p>\n<p>Outside combos, college football markets traded $428 million on Saturday, against $17 million for the NFL, which had no games that day. On Sunday, NFL markets traded $572 million, up 18% from a week earlier, and college football $21 million. Kalshi\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/igaming\/kalshis-15-minute-gold-bets-top-ether-fast-markets-drive-fees\/\">15-minute bitcoin markets<\/a> traded $229 million on Saturday and $234 million on Sunday, the most of any non-combo series after college football and NFL game markets, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Separately, Kalshi told the CFTC in a Sept. 28 filing that it would <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cftc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/filings\/orgrules\/26\/09\/rules09282630083.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">end its Volume Incentive Program no earlier than Oct. 13<\/a>, nearly a year before its scheduled Oct. 1, 2027, end. The program pays traders a share of per-market rewards, capped at half a cent per contract. For event contracts, only order-book trades at prices between 3 and 97 cents qualify, so the sub-cent combos behind most of the weekend\u2019s growth did not. The filing gave no reason, and it came as the CFTC was <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/igaming\/cftc-readies-action-on-prediction-market-promos-expected-this-week\/\">reviewing prediction market incentive programs<\/a>, after an August staff advisory warned that volume-based rewards with steep tiers or threshold bonuses can encourage wash trading.<\/p>\n<div class=\"not-prose my-3 lg:my-4\">\n<div class=\"overflow-hidden rounded-lg !bg-[#E8EDFA] p-[9px] hidden md:flex md:flex-row md:gap-3 lg:hidden\"><a aria-hidden=\"true\" tabindex=\"-1\" class=\"relative size-[150px] min-w-[150px] shrink-0 overflow-hidden rounded-[15px]\" href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/novig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad\/\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"absolute left-2 top-2\"><img alt=\"Bitcoin.com News\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"size-7\" style=\"color:transparent\" srcset=\"\/_next\/image\/?url=%2Fimages%2Fuploads%2Fbitcoin_news_newlogo.svg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, \/_next\/image\/?url=%2Fimages%2Fuploads%2Fbitcoin_news_newlogo.svg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75 2x\" src=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/_next\/image\/?url=%2Fimages%2Fuploads%2Fbitcoin_news_newlogo.svg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75\"\/><\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"overflow-hidden rounded-lg !bg-[#E8EDFA] p-[9px] hidden lg:flex lg:flex-row lg:gap-4\"><a aria-hidden=\"true\" tabindex=\"-1\" class=\"relative size-[150px] min-w-[150px] shrink-0 overflow-hidden rounded-[15px]\" href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/novig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad\/\"><img alt=\"Novig Says Trading Jumped 94% After Sydney Sweeney\u2019s Viral Ad\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"object-cover\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent\" sizes=\"150px\" srcset=\"\/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 32w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=48&amp;q=75 48w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=64&amp;q=75 64w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=128&amp;q=75 128w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=256&amp;q=75 256w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=384&amp;q=75 384w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=640&amp;q=75 640w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=828&amp;q=75 828w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=1080&amp;q=75 1080w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=1200&amp;q=75 1200w, \/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=1920&amp;q=75 1920w\" src=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/_next\/image\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.news.bitcoin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Fnovig-says-trading-jumped-94-after-sydney-sweeneys-viral-ad-150x150.png&amp;w=1920&amp;q=75\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"absolute left-2 top-2\"><img alt=\"Bitcoin.com News\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"size-7\" style=\"color:transparent\" srcset=\"\/_next\/image\/?url=%2Fimages%2Fuploads%2Fbitcoin_news_newlogo.svg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, \/_next\/image\/?url=%2Fimages%2Fuploads%2Fbitcoin_news_newlogo.svg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75 2x\" src=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/_next\/image\/?url=%2Fimages%2Fuploads%2Fbitcoin_news_newlogo.svg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75\"\/><\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"flex min-w-0 flex-1 flex-col justify-center gap-2\">\n<p class=\"m-0 line-clamp-2 text-base leading-[1.3] !text-[#67656E]\">Sports-centric prediction market platform Novig says its trading volume nearly doubled around the launch of its Sydney Sweeney campaign, with\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.bitcoin.com\/igaming\/parlays-push-kalshi-past-3-9-billion-in-a-day-twice-in-a-weekend\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on : Bitcoin News ) Key Takeaways Kalshi\u2019s notional volume reached a record $3.91 billion on Saturday and $3.96 billion on Sunday. Combos made up 71.6% of Saturday\u2019s volume and 69.4% of Sunday\u2019s, and most of the weekly growth. Combos Supplied Most of the Growth Kalshi\u2019s daily market data, which runs on U.S. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3947362403,"featured_media":79435,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79434"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3947362403"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79434"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79434\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79435"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79434"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79434"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowdfundjunction.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79434"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}